Football Midweek Tips & Predictions 11/03

11.03.20 – PSG vs Borussia Dortmund

It has been confirmed that the match will be taking place behind closed doors due to the COVID-19 outbreak while UEFA is mulling what action to take with regards to its two European competitions. Notwithstanding this, Paris have a deficit to chase having succumbed to a 2-1 defeat in the reverse fixture at the Signal Iduna Park. 

Market: Matchwinner PSG (1.75)

It goes without saying that PSG’s true intentions year in year out has to be the Champions League. While it is imperative for them to win the league in order for them to claim the title of most successful French team a first Champions League win is rightly viewed as more prestigious. Their best campaign came in 1995 when they managed to progress to the semi-finals, a time when George Weah was still weaving his magic. Since the influx of money from Qatar they never did better than a Quarter-Final. Last year they were unceremoniously dumped out by Manchester United. To avoid a repeat of that they need to win and with a record of just 3 losses in their last 54 home matches in European Competition odds 1.75 might indeed provide value. 

Market: Over 2.5 goals 1st Half (3.90)

Goals are rightly highly anticipated in this fixture. Paris Saint Germain have scored 18 so far and managed to score in each match of their campaign. The Over 2.5 might not be so alluring with odds of 1.34 with the main line being the Over 3.5 at 1.84. A glance at some recent stats shows why the odds are thus. From PSG’s last 10 games, eight ended in Over 3.5 goals while the same was the case for seven of eleven of Dortmund’s last eleven matches. A quick start to the match however might see a flurry of goals early on which may prompt a punt on three or more goals before half-time as not something too impossible to happen. 

Market: Anytime goalscorer: Erling Braut Haaland (2.36)

Few would have predicted the explosive start the Norwegian would have had at Borussia. I mean, we knew he’s good, but maybe not that good! At just 19 years of age one can only wonder what is in store for Erling but with Mbappe likely set to miss the fixture through illness the stage is set for him to bask in the limelight. 

11.03.20 – Liverpool vs Atletico

As exemplified in last year’s Champions League semi-finals, Anfield is not the best place to go for one’s second leg. Ask Barca. Last year the Catalans carried a 3-goal advantage to Merseyside which was duly obliterated. Liverpool would also take heart from the fact that last year Atletico let slip a two-goal home advantage when they visited Juventus for the second leg. 

Market: Matchwinner Liverpool (1.59)

Liverpool were rocked when it emerged that Alisson was ruled out with a hip injury last week meaning he would miss up to three games including next Monday’s derby. Adrian is short of confidence at the moment slipping up against Chelsea in the FA Cup and cutting a less than assured presence against Bournemouth. Should Atletico manage to score Liverpool would then need three goals but we believe that regardless of whether Atletico score or not Liverpool would be able to convert their home advantage into a win. 

Market: Under 2.5 (1.83)

Atletico barely threatened in the first leg and were slightly fortuitous in scoring their goal. The return of this market largely depends on what Diego Simeone would opt for. Would he attack and try to get an all-important away goal? Or would he ask his team to defend deep to limit any Liverpool manoeuvres? Either or, they are sure to make life difficult for Liverpool. 

Market: Halftime result Draw (2.15)

A slow start is highly likely with Liverpool, and we might have to wait until the 2nd half to see all of the action unfold. Taking a punt on a draw at half-time whether still at 0-0 or also likely, at 1-1 will bring odds of 2.15.

Market: Anytime goalscorer: Mohammed Salah (2.20)

Salah made it 70 goals in 100 Premier League appearances at the weekend against Bournemouth with a well-taken goal. The record perhaps a bit surprisingly, given that many deem his return this season to be meagre, betters the goalscoring records of players such as Torres, Suarez and Owen. Given that Milner, the official penalty-taker might make his way back on the bench, Salah would take that duty. Not that Salah needs penalties to score, but they would certainly help.